This is the main result from the climate summary stated in the PARCOF-3 Consensus statement, for temperature and precipitation during November, December and January 2018-2019. View the full climate summary presentation for more details. The November, December and January (NDJ) average surface air temperature was above normal for most of the Arctic domain, with eastern Siberia experiencing its second warmest NDJ on record. Siberia saw their driest NDJ in the 70-year record.

Temperature NDJ 2018-2019 Summary

The figure below shows the November, December, and January (NDJ) 2018-2019 temperature anomaly based on the 1981-2010 reference period from Hydrometcenter Moscow/NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis. The NDJ average surface air temperature in the Arctic domain north of 65°N was, in most regions, above normal. Using data from NCEP/NCAR reanalysis to rank the average surface air temperature, the NDJ period ranged from the top 10 warmest over parts of Alaska, Greenland, and the European Arctic, to the 3rd coldest (a portion of the southern Canadian Arctic) winter in 70 years, since the start of the record in 1949. Click image to see forecast and climate summary side by side.

temperature summary november desember january 2018-19

Click image to see forecast and climate summary side by side.

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Forecasted temperature for November, December and January 2018-2019.

temperature outlook november december january 2018-19
 

Temperature summary for the same period.

temperature summary november desember january 2018-19
 

 

Precipitation NDJ 2018-2019 Summary

The figure shows the NDJ 2018-2019 precipitation anomaly based on the 1981-2010 reference period from NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis. Siberia saw their driest NDJ in the 70-year record. Click image to see forecast and climate summary side by side.

precipitation summary november december january 2018-19

Click image to see forecast and climate summary side by side.

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Forecasted precipitation for November, December and January 2018-2019.

precipitation outlook november december january 2018-19
 

Precipitation summary for the same period.

precipitation summary november december january 2018-19